BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

Florida St

Class: 1 Class Rank: 42 Overall: (23-11) Overall Strength =   50.03
Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (14-7) | District: 1-01 Record: (17-11)

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-06-2023 Home    W    47.93  99  63    1 323 ( 11- 19) Charleston So          -2.09 *   38.09                      
  2 11-09-2023 Home    W    53.21  92  91    1  23 ( 20- 13) Tennessee               3.18     -2.18                      
  3 11-17-2023 Away    W    52.68  79  75    1  54 ( 16- 16) Florida                 2.65      1.35                      
  4 11-19-2023 Home    W    48.86  80  45    1 305 (  9- 23) South Alabama          -1.17 *   36.17                      
  5 11-22-2023 Neutral W    67.71  90  52    1 166 (  9- 21) Northwestern           17.68     20.32                      
  6 11-24-2023 Neutral L    51.82  88 100    1   7 ( 30-  6) Stanford                1.79    -13.79                      
  7 11-30-2023 Home    L    27.42  58  71    1  68 ( 18- 15) Arkansas              -22.61      9.61                      
  8 12-03-2023 Home    W    60.52  76  49    1 117 ( 21- 11) Kent                   10.50     16.50                      
  9 12-07-2023 Home    W    45.38  99  73    1 253 ( 11- 20) Jacksonville           -4.65 *   30.65                      
 10 12-10-2023 Neutral L    47.03  78  95    1   6 ( 27-  7) UCLA                   -3.00    -14.00                      
 11 12-17-2023 Away    W    52.01  76  56    1 169 ( 19- 15) Drexel                  1.99     18.01                      
 12 12-20-2023 Home    W    67.55 110  45    1 357 (  3- 26) Alabama St             17.52 *   47.48                      
 13 12-29-2023 Home    W *  55.35  95  80    1  69 ( 17- 16) Georgia Tech            5.32      9.68                      
 14 12-31-2023 Home    W *  45.69  73  61    1 115 (  7- 25) Wake Forest            -4.34     16.34                      
 15 01-04-2024 Away    L *  55.13  80  88 1  1  10 ( 31-  7) NC State                5.10    -13.10                      
 16 01-07-2024 Away    W *  49.48  78  72    1  80 ( 12- 19) Clemson                -0.54      6.54                      
 17 01-11-2024 Home    W *  56.43  70  62    1  36 ( 20- 13) North Carolina          6.40      1.60                      
 18 01-14-2024 Home    W *  62.34  89  81    1  21 ( 25-  8) Virginia Tech          12.31     -4.31                      
 19 01-18-2024 Away    L *  46.70  73  79    1  41 ( 24-  8) Syracuse               -3.33     -2.67                      
 20 01-21-2024 Home    L *  39.03  87  91    1  56 ( 16- 16) Virginia              -11.00      7.00                      
 21 01-25-2024 Away    L *  18.56  46  88    1  17 ( 22- 12) Duke                  -31.47    -10.53                      
 22 01-28-2024 Away    W *  56.64  78  67    1  69 ( 17- 16) Georgia Tech            6.61      4.39                      
 23 02-04-2024 Home    W *  51.82  75  68    1  51 ( 19- 12) Miami FL                1.79      5.21                      
 24 02-08-2024 Away    W *  51.31  76  60    1 144 (  8- 24) Pittsburgh              1.28     14.72                      
 25 02-11-2024 Home    L *  55.84  94  98 2  1   8 ( 28-  7) Notre Dame              5.81     -9.81                      
 26 02-15-2024 Away    W *  46.98  71  63    1 115 (  7- 25) Wake Forest            -3.05     11.05                      
 27 02-18-2024 Away    W *  56.11  74  68    1  51 ( 19- 12) Miami FL                6.09     -0.09                      
 28 02-22-2024 Home    W *  52.73  84  71    1  74 ( 14- 19) Boston College          2.70     10.30                      
 29 02-29-2024 Away    L *  42.46  55  70    1  24 ( 24- 10) Louisville             -7.56     -7.44                      
 30 03-03-2024 Home    W *  41.19  82  79 1  1  80 ( 12- 19) Clemson                -8.84     11.84                      
 31 03-07-2024 Neutral W *  53.34  70  53    1 115 (  7- 25) Wake Forest             3.31     13.69                      
 32 03-08-2024 Neutral W *  63.05  78  65    1  41 ( 24-  8) Syracuse               13.02     -0.02                      
 33 03-09-2024 Neutral L *  34.48  43  69    1  10 ( 31-  7) NC State              -15.55    -10.45                      
 34 03-22-2024 Neutral L    44.18  74  82    1  31 ( 24- 10) Alabama                -5.85     -2.15                      
      Averages              50.03  78.5 71.5

Best game:   67.71 = 38 point win over Northwestern
Worst game:  18.56 = 42 point loss to Duke
Team stdev:  10.18